Dawnstorm,
I work in a numbers industry, where the meaning of average is known in its precise numerical term. Yet all my staff who HAVE to beat an average (that's their job), believe they are better than average. And all the the people at our competitors doing the same job also believe they are better than average.
Now clearly half of them are wrong, and they all know that collectively the entire industry cannot be better than average. Yet these are the same people that determine the fate of companies, economies and industries. They control literally trillions of dollars collectively, my own teams run billions.
If you do the maths, on average every single one of them is overconfident. In other words they over-emphasise their own predictive ability and accuracy.
"A trait of human conversations is that the meaning of words can shift mid-conversation and no-one notices." Dawnstorm a common behavioral trait is what you're claiming here. You might be right, I've not seen the testing on this (though I have on all of the above). Now if you're right and let's assume you are then do you think everybody knows this? If not then you have a considerable comparative advantage which at judicious moments you can apply to further your own agenda. Furthering your own agenda precisely because there ARE common human behavioral traits.
Scott, I haven't read that book, I'll look it up.
Cheers
BW



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. Still too much to say. Letters and typed words not the best of ways to say it, maybe. Doubt and imprecision. Right/wrong; invariably this/inevitably that; ratios/perspectives; reductionist/hardwired/genes/neurons... Communication! Are we not more than individuals because of that word? Communication? Theres been a lot of debate about what we do inside our own heads, but what about getting any of that across to someone else? Simply doesnt happen. 'Cant transfer the entirety of our 'minds' to 'make' our point. (Make? Agenda... something else...) Oh, I dont think I'd like to be able to do such a thing: Ive 'kind of faught' for over 20 years for whats in my nonce, but I'm sure intrigued by what you folks think. And thinking is key. 'Tis the whole point of this thread, isn't it?
)
The reason would be that I have the intimate conviction that doubts are positive little buggers.
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