A Decent Analysis of Borders Bookstores

KatG

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With Borders Bookstores collapsing in the States, the popular meme has been that Amazon killed the chain, despite the facts being decidedly not in support of that idea. Bloomsburg Businessweek has a nice long article on what actually did happen: http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/the-end-of-borders-and-the-future-of-books-11102011.html focusing on Nashville.

My favorite quote in this piece is this one:

“It’s the only retail industry I can think of that will go full circle, back to the way it originally was,” says Green. “From the small-village bookstore to the big-box retailer and then back again. That doesn’t ever happen in retail.”

That's pretty much bookselling in a nutshell. Things that never happen in retail happen in bookselling and things that are always expected in retail often don't happen at all in bookselling. The future of bookselling is going to be complicated, but it will be a future.
 
Thanks KatG! That's quite an eye-opener. I saw one comment on the article about further problems with Borders (such as their CEOs being general retail exec's who were not up to par when it comes to the complicated, wholly individual retail that is bookselling).

Gives hope to those of us who like the feel of a real book in our hands and who enjoy perusing titles on a shelf and being able to take one down and read a page anywhere at all in said book and not just the few that have been made available to us by Amazon. I think my local bookstores have felt the love too, just like Nashville's, after what happened earlier this year.
 
Personally, I think the future of bookselling will have two tiers to it.

There will be the giant online retailers from which you can order a book quickly when you know exactly what you want...and when the weather outside is frightful.

Then there will be the small local bookstore that will be where you go when you don't know what you want, when your internet access went out at a crucial moment and you need wi-fi fast...but the thing is.

In the future, you will be able to get a print OR electronic copy of any book you want at your local bookstore, while you wait with your coffee. Once the technology matures, there will be no question of 'in stock' or 'out of stock' - true, there will still be some books on the shelves.

In the future, bookstore owners and employees will need to be highly trained specialists who know how to find just the book you need...oh wait. We already have those. They're called 'librarians'. The two professions will converge, IMO.
 
KatG, I don't know if you've mentioned this elsewhere, but can you elaborate on the difference between book retail and regular retailing? Oh, I think it'd be neat if someone resurrected the original Borders in Ann Arbor as a local bookstore just like it was originally.
 
Actually, the original Borders in Ann Arbor is no longer a Borders...it's one of the two University of Michigan bookstores. It hasn't been a Borders for a while, I believe.
 
KatG, I don't know if you've mentioned this elsewhere, but can you elaborate on the difference between book retail and regular retailing? Oh, I think it'd be neat if someone resurrected the original Borders in Ann Arbor as a local bookstore just like it was originally.

Book retailing is weird. Fiction publishing is even weirder. It's small, works on narrow profit margins with no real cash reserves, slow growth, minimal marketing and no demographic research and other geegaws that other industries use because there's no money for it and most of it doesn't work for books. Book publishing uses ancient accounting, distribution and sales systems that even magazines no longer use, principally the return system with print for booksellers. They use them because booksellers have continued to want them as a commission guarantee, and because they actually have worked better for the industry than trying to adopt methods from music or other industries.

Books supplies two tracks -- entertainment (fiction and some non-fiction; ) and information (non-fiction.) This makes it different from music and movies (nor does it share many business practices with those industries, including e-books.) Non-fiction is author-based, partly directly competitive, and readers are marketing oriented, but not entirely and reliably so, with some symbiosis, browsing and variety factors. Fiction is book-based, not directly competitive, and runs thoroughly through symbiosis, variety and browsing. Fiction readers are marketing resistant and the chief marketing impetus is word of mouth recommendations by those they know, which cannot be rigged. Awareness of a fiction work can be done through marketing, but it may not translate reliably into word of mouth.

Merchandising off of books is erratic, particularly for fiction. Books do not have reliable merchandising channels to turn their books into other products. Except for the slice of celebrity book publishing, books are not status marketable very much. You may buy the clothes your favorite actor wears or go to a club or store that is announced hot and trendy by "trend setters", but this doesn't happen reliably for books. Books are not "in" things for the most part. Books can do some of it, depending on the audience, such as business books by leading business people, and for fiction, a film or t.v. adaptation means a large increase in sales, but that's a tiny percentage.

Books have a reliable small audience who keep buying books despite competing technologies and entertainments. Younger people read fewer books, reading increases as a person ages. This is the reverse of the music, t.v. and movies industries, which rely on young people and disregard older people. Women buy more books and more fiction than men. This is the reverse of movies, music and games, where men buy more than women.

The electronics industry, which completely owns us as consumers, is completely alien from bookselling and has enormous piles of money, which has made for interesting interactions for e-books. Tech predictors keep trying to predict what will happen to book publishing according to the tech industries, which is not going to happen because that's how people buy gadgets, not books. This is how we got the meme that it was Amazon and e-books that killed Borders.

Regular retail has all sorts of proven points of operations, such as sales, advertising, status marketing, demographic and design research, etc. that don't necessarily work for books. Regular retail is not able to return unsold merchandise to suppliers for a refund, like you can in books. Regular retail has lots and lots of cash and sells its stuff far more widely. Weird little bookstores that should not be able to exist somehow do, if they can manage the rent. Bookstores often end up providing other functions such as community centers, performance spaces, etc., functioning in some ways like public libraries. The book industry is increasingly international and most of the big publishers in the U.S. for instance are owned by foreign corporations, but it is less international than most other industries because it deals chiefly in the written world, which runs into translation requirements that limit it.

As Margaret Atwood explained (emphasis mine):

People sit there putting words on the page, and some of them make a lot of money for their publishers and others create huge losses because the publishers placed their bets wrong. When people say publishing is a business – actually it’s not quite a business. It’s part gambling and part arts and crafts, with a business component. It’s not like any other business, and that’s why when standard businessmen go into publishing and think, “Right, I’m going to clean this up, rationalize it and make it work like a real business,” two years later you find they’re bald because they’ve torn out all their hair. And then you say to them, “It’s not like selling beer. It’s not like selling a case of this and a case of that and doing a campaign that works for all of the beer.” You’re selling one book – not even one author any more. Those days are gone, when you sold, let’s say, “Graham Greene” almost like a brand. You’re selling one book, and each copy of that book has to be bought by one reader and each reading of that book is by one unique individual. It’s very specific.
 
Thanks, KatG. The great thing about ebooks is the elimination of inventory. I would think that should improve profitability for publishers if there's no unsold inventory to worry about.
 
Thanks, KatG. The great thing about ebooks is the elimination of inventory. I would think that should improve profitability for publishers if there's no unsold inventory to worry about.

Well no, it doesn't yet, for a variety of issues. Ebooks cause a lot of problems. Right now, there is a big issue of whether booksellers are accurately reporting sales info and payments to publishers and publishers managing to do so with authors. There aren't any set policies, prices, etc. It's the Wild West. For instance, Amazon started a lending program for Kindle owners who pay special to get around complaints about its DRM. It asked publishers to use titles for the program for a flat fee. A lot of the publishers said no because that wouldn't really give the authors much money and they'd prefer a pay when picked to lend fee or royalty. Amazon went ahead and used those titles anyway. E-books have added costs of personnel, quality control, tech support, accounting, and are a lot more complicated. It's also still a small market, relatively. We are more likely to have a combo of e-books and print for some time to come.
 
Well no, it doesn't yet, for a variety of issues. Ebooks cause a lot of problems.

For instance, Amazon started a lending program for Kindle owners who pay special to get around complaints about its DRM. It asked publishers to use titles for the program for a flat fee. A lot of the publishers said no because that wouldn't really give the authors much money and they'd prefer a pay when picked to lend fee or royalty. Amazon went ahead and used those titles anyway.

Hi Kat--

First of all, thanks for the depth of your insights and discussion.

With the above remarks, you are touching on an extreme issue within the ebook industry: piracy. The use of the word 'lending' for non-DRM books strikes me as entirely disingenuous. Why? Because, for all practical purposes a brand-new copy of the book is created each time the book is lent out. With paper-'n-ink, lending requires the actual physical transport of an item. It's both time-consuming and expensive, so consumers are, in most cases, unlikely to go that route. But with ebooks, when a consumer 'borrows' a book, a brand new unit is created in seconds, and in most cases retained forever, unless the consumer destroys it.

The preceding paragraph deals only with above-board lending. Outright piracy, the illegal upload of copyrighted books onto cynically-named 'sharing' sites is a very large problem indeed. In Europe, piracy now accounts for over half of online music distribution, and I have to believe ebooks will soon end up there as well. Those of us that sell ebooks, if we have done some investigative digging through the internet, are shocked to discover the numbers (thousands of copies) of our own books that have gone out via piracy sites... and that includes only the sites that list the number of downloads.

I'm not much of a futurist, but here's my prediction: The price of ebooks will continue to fall until it's no longer worth a person's time to track down pirated editions. True thieves, however, will always steal. They do so because they enjoy it. It empowers them, as if they've beat the system. They will spend half an hour of their time to avoid a 99-cent fee.

--WB
 
I actually wasn't talking about piracy. Now that the retail e-books market has been successfully launched on a larger scale (which occurred many, many years after electronic book piracy was going on,) piracy is less of a sales issue and more of a logistical issue with the various vendors and their formatting demands. But there are a lot of issues with e-books that still have to be negotiated, a lot of personnel who have to be hired to deal with the whole new systems being put in place.

So e-books have costs, but those costs can be offset with sales and increasingly will be as the infrastructure for the global retail market is created. Amazon got their lead and lit the fuse with the Kindle, but that only lasted a few years lead in and the other players such as Apple were not companies Amazon could drive out of the marketplace. Amazon is already switching to tablets and everybody else, electronic and book, are coming out with tablets. These machines include books, but even the e-readers weren't really about books because other forms of data -- newspapers and news, magazines and databases, video, music and games -- are far more valuable and lucrative. Books are the cute little show pony that is always useful, valued, and trotted out and shown off but is not going to turn into a wooly mammoth in size. Books are the neat apps on the gadgets that have to be replaced every 2-7 years which are the heart of the money making.

Which is why people keep trying to talk about the book industry in terms of the tech industry and technological industries like music and video, but the book industry is not going to work that way. It will be involved with tech, multi-media market with tech, but it's never going to be about tech like movies, music and games and magazines. Various kinds of non-fiction can be more techy and will do the best with the gadgets. "Enhanced" notions for books over print text and illustrations are more useful for non-fiction books, although even there, it's more about a multi-media platform than simply enhancing a book with gee-daws that readers aren't particularly into. And yet interestingly enough, it's fiction that everyone is gaga over for the new retail e-book market (but then fiction is the ultimate show pony that has been trotted out.)

People are buying e-books for the same reasons that they bought print books because they are the same thing. They are buying when they maybe didn't before because they are more aware of the books' existence thanks to the hype of the tech launches for e-readers and tablets, but the reasons haven't changed. So ascribing tech rationales to book buyers' behavior as new paradigms, for me, usually doesn't make a lot of sense. The market operates pretty much the same as it did before, just through a different channel whose revenues are still being argued over and whose distribution format is complicated.

Unlike movies, recorded music and games, books have for millennia been available for free -- in libraries. So while I have vigorously defended authors' rights to be upset over electronic piracy without being attacked for it, and have vigorously slammed people who try to downplay the criminality running through global e-book piracy and the ethics of participating in it, I'm not particularly worried about it for the book industry. Piracy isn't directly lost sales and books have never been about restricting access to the product.

I don't think the price of e-books is going to drop to miniscule proportions unless computer games stop being $50 a pop. E-books are expensive and time-consuming to produce. Eventually, it is likely to get faster, but since it needs its own infrastructure and staff, that remains built into the price. So there will continue to be a range of prices that respond to customers' willingness to buy and the size of the e-book operation. People are willing to pay a price based on a combo of how badly they want to play with their new gadget and how much value they place on the particular title and getting it quickly, and they'll buy accordingly, same as they did with hardcovers and paperbacks. Book publishing only needs some of them to do this, because book publishing is used to dealing with small numbers.

The Amazon lending plan isn't piracy. It's Amazon trying to push the terms of the deal for a service it now wants to include with the Kindle for an additional fee. Amazon can access, block, and wipe files off your Kindle, so the borrowing is not the making of a new copy. Instead, a Kindle owner can "borrow" another Kindle owner's book file by having temporary access to the file off the lender's Kindle for two weeks. During that time, the lender can't access the file for that book. Then the loan is done and the access of the borrower to the lender's Kindle file is turned off and the lender can access the file again. Amazon wanted to pay a flat fee to publishers/authors for being able to put a title in the Lending Library you can do this with. Some publishers said no because it doesn't give the authors much. They want a pay to play fee or royalty in which they and authors get a little something each time their book is loaned or if their book is loaned a certain number of times (is popular.) Amazon went ahead and put some of those titles in the Lending Library despite permission having been denied. So that's a contract issue.

Amazon does not have a deep need to destroy print books; they sell them. But if they can make their Kindle system more attractive by simulating print as much as possible, plus the advantages of the e-book form, they'll try to do that to aggressively increase Kindle's market share. Still doesn't change how people deal with books. And because Amazon can turn off access to the files, this sets up a rather different relationship than if you buy a print book. So these sorts of issues are what are being worked out as the market develops.
 
Kat, even given that selling books is not like any other business, and all the other factors that you mention, do you think the fact that Borders started expanding so rapidly just as the economy was starting to slide, played a significant part in it's demise?
 
Piracy is much less rampant than most think, due to selection bias when looking at information. In reality, at minimum eighty percent of any given customer base seeks to buy honestly. There have been a number of studies showing this (the famous bagel salesman one, with the payment rate of 89% or so, comes to mind).

However, a lot of people see a purchase as a purchase as a purchase. To them, buying something digitally should be no different than buying something physically. These people have a tendecy to avoid paying for something with DRM or other such measures.

The issue comes up because historically there were few alternatives other than piracy or to accept the DRM. This is part of why Apple was so successful (it's real easy to make backups of stuff you buy through them, as long as you use iTunes software). It's also why Smashwords is rapidly becoming one of the big names in e-book publishing, because of how their purchasing model works.

In the long run, Amazon is likely going to lose this fight if they continue to reserve the right to delete any of your purchases. As more and more people become internet savvy, less and less will buy from a company who does that.
 
Kat, even given that selling books is not like any other business, and all the other factors that you mention, do you think the fact that Borders started expanding so rapidly just as the economy was starting to slide, played a significant part in it's demise?

Yeah, I think so; the article seems to make a business case for it. Rapid expansion often does companies in -- Starbucks expanded too rapidly and had to close a lot of outlets, for instance. But I think there were a lot of factors with Borders. One factor Tom Doherty at Tor brought up was them basically just shutting down most of the Walden mall stores in favor of the superstores, which according to this article was logistics and accounting related. Getting rid of the mall stores seemed like a good idea as mall rents were going up. But people shopping in the malls for other things would go and browse in the mall bookstores and make impulse purchases, which was good business. With the superstores, they have great selection, cafes, etc., but they are destination stores in shopping centers or standing separately -- you have to plan to go in there and the number of people who deliberately plan to visit bookstores is less than the number who plan plus the number of people who just pass by and browse when they otherwise wouldn't visit a bookstore. And the rents or ownership costs for those big stores in the shopping centers or standing alone were also very high. So that cost them. (Of course, Barnes & Noble had the same situation with B. Dalton's.)

But the biggest thing is probably that they got bought up and passed around by corporations. Corporations buying bookstores and publishers tend to try to treat them like other industries, make a lot of changes and get very upset at the low level of profit and growth the industry puts out. So that led to a lot of bad decisions for Borders, even though they had good employees and some good things, whereas Barnes & Noble made mistakes but stuck with their original program. I think their big advantage is that they expanded when it was more economically feasible to do so, back in the 1970's and 1980's, and as the biggest U.S. book retailer, they were able to puncture the online sales and e-book market despite Amazon's dominance. They also own an enormous number of college bookstores, apparently, and that is, while an unexciting market to many, a remarkably steady and often profitable one.
 
The nearest bookstore to where I live was a Borders until they went under. It was in a nice enough location, but over the years it seemed to be stocking fewer and fewer books and more and more stationary, music, chocolates, children's toys etc. I don't go to a bookstore to buy that stuff! I want books lining the walls and stacked to the ceiling with narrow corridors between the rows and rows of shelves. Given that most Borders were not in large malls makes me question the rationale behind having all that 'impulse buy' stuff there. You had to make a conscious choice to get in the car and drive to the strip mall or street corner where the Borders was located, so when you did that, you were looking for books. The impulse buy stuff makes more sense if a store is in a large mall where people may idly go to browse while they're waiting for their movie to start or their spouses to finish trying on underwear in the Macy's.

The selection of titles in the sci fi/fantasy and general fiction sections got worse and worse, which was a bummer. The reason I still go to 'real' bookstores instead of merely shopping online for books is the fun of browsing. I enjoy looking through the shelves and shelves of real books, looking at the covers and reading the blurbs on the back (and maybe the first couple of pages). On Amazon and other online sites, you kind of have to know what you're looking for (you browse enter author's last name or title). Yes they have that 'if you liked this, then you'll like this' feature online, and a huge selection of titles, but it's always been hit or miss, and I've missed tons of new authors since bookselling shifted online. It's one reason I joined this site.

The final straw for me was when our local borders stopped having a science section (I'm a biology teacher, so I'm always looking for new books about evolution, genetics, the history of science etc. to recommend to my students). I'm serious! There were no more books about biology, chemistry, physics etc. in the entire store, at least not that I could find. They replaced them with a bunch of metaphysical woo woo crud. I'm a fantasy/sci fi fan, but I prefer books of speculative fiction to be carried in the fiction section and not be masquerading as real science, thank you very much. After that, I stopped shopping there and started making the longer trip to B&N at the local mall.

The fact that Borders was late to join the online game and never marketed any kind of e-reader is also probably telling. I prefer good old fashioned books and don't own a kindle or nook (yet), but I suspect that these platforms are important transitions in a world where entertainment is becoming increasingly portable.

RIP Borders.
 
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Well, the reality is that the bigger bookstore chains are going to become department stores of sorts and the smaller stores are going to have provide cafes and community centers. Because the number of people who deliberately go to a bookstore to buy books is small, and in the current market while steady and even larger than it was ten years ago, smaller than it needs to be for sustainable growth in the current retail environment and for corporate requirements. Barnes & Noble is upping their non-book product mix considerably and they are doing that to survive.

By becoming a destination store for multiple product lines, they bring people into the store looking for gifts, housewares, gourmet foods, etc., just as people were drawn into the mall bookstores because they came to the mall to buy other things. This works particularly well with women who make up 70% of the book buying audience and most of the product mix will be geared for women. By staging events and being involved in the arts as community centers, they draw people to the store. And when you put books in front of people, in a store or in an app on their iPad, they buy books when they didn't buy books before. If they see them (not as ads but as available products,) they'll buy.

It is tricky for them as they are then dealing with retail products that don't work like books -- no returns, profit margins expected to be higher, music has a lot of screwy stuff, etc. -- but it's necessary. And what we'll probably also see is bookstores teaming up with various retailers and there then may be a Barnes & Noble corner in say Sears stores, and so forth. With e-books, books have become in some ways a much more desired product, which is why Target and WalMart went whole hog into amping up their book divisions and having a price war with Amazon for the online market. If we can get more vendors -- more stores, more online -- books will be in a healthier position and bookstores too.

They tried this before in the late 1980's and 1990's with sometimes disasterous results because they weren't really prepared for handling the product mix. (Tower Books is a lovely example of similar mismanagement to Borders.) But some chains like Hastings in the U.S. had the mix from the beginning and it's worked for them. And Starbucks long ago partnered with Barnes & Noble for cafes in the superstores and now also promotes books, CD's, etc. in their cafes throughout, which is them using a product mix to draw people to them. And many of the independent bookstores are thriving over mixing arts entertainment with their book offerings.

I love books, but I've got no problem with them selling fiction with DVD's that often adapt fiction works right next to them or cooking equipment with the cookbooks. It's weighted towards bestsellers in the big chains, but that's always been the issue with the larger stores. In books, a rising tide lifts all boats -- the more successful bestsellers are, the more other books sell. Which is why we now have thousands and thousands of YA authors selling thanks to J.K. Rowling.

If we can't replace the critical wholesale market that was lost in the 1990's -- and it's looking like we can't -- then we have to have a wider spread retail market, use the online market as the new wholesale and e-books as a weird hybrid between them. The big question is, are people who weren't regular book buyers before going to keep buying e-books once the big tablet push dies down into regular product lines or are they instead going to turn to games, newspapers and other bigger markets? We've got another three years of rapid growth, then another five years of slower growth in e-books, but it's a limited market, given the world economy and environmental problems. It's only going to continue to be successful if people who didn't buy books keep buying e-books over the long term. And if the money those sales produce profits more than just a handful of authors and a few companies like Amazon.

So it's going to take a lot of careful management and creativity, not pie in the sky utopianism. And Borders didn't have that.
 
You're probably right that brick and mortar stores in general are becoming less specialized, because shoppers who go into any store for just one thing are rarer than they once were. But Borders invested heavily in locations that were not conducive to shoppers coming in to browse and make impulse buys.

My local Borders was in a tiny strip mall with no other interesting stores, so when I went there, I went there to buy books and found the other items an annoying distraction. Contrast that with the Barnes and Noble, which is in a mall that has a food court, several sit down restaurants, a movie theater and several department stores. There, they get a lot of people who come into the store to browse while they have to wait for their movie to start, while they are waiting for their seat in a restaurant or their parents/spouses are shopping in the department stores (my mom used to park me in the bookstore in our local mall when I was a kid to get me out of her hair while she shopped, and then she'd pay for the books I selected. It was win/win, since it encouraged her to shop quickly). In that setting, offering a variety of 'impulse' items besides books works well.
 
As the article points out, Borders was not real good at picking its spots. In any case, I suspect we'll have a lot more bookstore-tearooms and whatnot. With the ordering abilities and concierge service helping with the inventory issues, these stores are going to become experience locales rather than just product selling locales. Expect also a fair number of toys and stuff for kids so families will come in.
 

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