our genre is stagnating

If there is any stagnation in SF stories, it's maybe not so much the science aspects, but the inability of many SF writers to imagine people are different in the future from the social stereotypes they grew up with.

Inability as in they refuse to because they don't want a change for the story?
I think Heinlein is a lot like this. In some ways, he imagines vastly different social structures in his future worlds, with open marriages, etc. In many other ways, he has the most backwards, traditional, sterotyped relationships between men and women. For example, no matter how smart the woman, their number one goal is always to land a man and the main thing on any of his female astrophysicist's minds is how to cut their hair to get a man's attention.

I think it's almost impossible to take out all the stereotypes since they creep into every sentence you write about men and women. You might be concentrating on taking them out and presenting a future with none of the social cues of our day, but forget to police your story for even one sentence and boom! You put a pink color on the girl and a blue one on the boy and the social cues continue.
 
If there is any stagnation in SF stories, it's maybe not so much the science aspects, but the inability of many SF writers to imagine people are different in the future from the social stereotypes they grew up with.

So I had fun with a stereotype. I had a MAN who told me he LOVED cars say he didn't know what a cam shaft was when I asked him.

What if the women's lib culture begun in this century is the one that is weird.

I don't understand why people want to get their egos wrapped up in their jobs and spend money on useless variations in junk. Heinlein made some very interesting comments about the automobile industry in The Door into Summer that were supposed to apply in the year 2000. Twelve years behind us. Instead we have Star Wars volkswagen commercials.

What if women's lib is merely about getting an untapped work force into the economy but most of the increased cash flow just goes to stuff that depreciates anyway. Like cigareetes being called "Torches of Freedom" in the 1920s to get women libbers to smoke but it was not about liberty it was about psychological manipulation for money.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Torches_of_Freedom

psik
 
So I had fun with a stereotype. I had a MAN who told me he LOVED cars say he didn't know what a cam shaft was when I asked him.
...

So? Are you claiming he can't love cars without knowing what a cam shaft is?

:rolleyes:

Let's please not drag this great topic off into your usual tripe.
 
Yesterday I saw a woman working for a tyre-fitting company. She was doing just as much work as the guys.

And I found that attractive. Well, that and her red hair... But no, I was surprised (not in a bad way) and found it awesome at the same time.

Shush - I can't help having a weakness for a certain hair colour :p

But Psikey; what if you're the one that's weird? Women's Lib seems pretty sensible to me.
 
So I had fun with a stereotype. I had a MAN who told me he LOVED cars say he didn't know what a cam shaft was when I asked him.



psik

I am trying hard to imagine how that conversation went.

Man: Wow I love cars
Psik: Do you know what a cam shaft is?
Man: No. (Exits quickly to get coffee from Starbucks. Does not know how coffee machine works either. Realises that is not relevant to the pleasure he derives from the cup of joe.)
 
If there is any stagnation in SF stories, it's maybe not so much the science aspects, but the inability of many SF writers to imagine people are different in the future from the social stereotypes they grew up with.

So I had fun with a stereotype. I had a MAN who told me he LOVED cars say he didn't know what a cam shaft was when I asked him.

What if the women's lib culture begun in this century is the one that is weird.

I don't understand why people want to get their egos wrapped up in their jobs and spend money on useless variations in junk. Heinlein made some very interesting comments about the automobile industry in The Door into Summer that were supposed to apply in the year 2000. Twelve years behind us. Instead we have Star Wars volkswagen commercials.

What if women's lib is merely about getting an untapped work force into the economy but most of the increased cash flow just goes to stuff that depreciates anyway. Like cigareetes being called "Torches of Freedom" in the 1920s to get women libbers to smoke but it was not about liberty it was about psychological manipulation for money.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Torches_of_Freedom

psik
 
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kenny said:
P.S. she probably knew how to do that from reading Sci-Fi, right?

Let's just say that if her life had gone differently, she would have made a heck of a house contractor. When she went into labor with her second kid, she was breeding horses.

theonefirestorm said:
Inability as in they refuse to because they don't want a change for the story?

No, I've been thinking about this a bit lately, about the obsession within SF about SF dying or stagnating, and I think a lot of it may come from difficulties that the future and SF's visions of futures or usages of the concept of future don't go in a direct line from the society that they think they have when they were growing up. We've noted the cyclical nature of this before -- people complained in the 1950's that SF was dying, stagnating because technology had so far advanced, etc. and then in the 1990's, people complained that SF was dying, stagnating because technology had so far advanced and so SF just wasn't as good as in the 1950's, when it was dying, and so forth and so on, every decade. Maybe SF fans just don't like the zigging and zagging that occurs. Of course, that doesn't fully explain the death wish. Maybe SF fans are just moody.

philgeo said:
the main thing on any of his female astrophysicist's minds

But he did have female astrophysicists. Imperfect inclusions lead to more realistic inclusions. If you can get them to see it as normal, that's step number one. SF has had a sociological role more than a tech one, I think, though it's had a tech one too.

psikey said:
So I had fun with a stereotype.

And I had fun back pointing out that it was a poor example of a stereotype in 2012.

I had a MAN who told me he LOVED cars say he didn't know what a cam shaft was when I asked him.

You are deeply against specialization in the human population/workforce. We're aware of this.

What if the women's lib culture begun in this century is the one that is weird...I don't understand why people want to get their egos wrapped up in their jobs and spend money on useless variations in junk. What if women's lib is merely about getting an untapped work force into the economy but most of the increased cash flow just goes to stuff that depreciates anyway.

The women's liberation movement was about getting women equal protection, rights and status under the law as equal citizens. It is still a work in progress. That included getting women into the workforce, yes, so that they could survive, so that they could have upward social mobility like men, and yes certainly to utilize them, as doing so always results in growth and productivity in an economy and a higher standard of living, so that the women could go and make useless junk just like the guys. Unfortunately, women are still being discouraged and blocked from the technology industries, so that they only make up 20% of the workforce there. That will change slowly.

I do actually agree with you about the depreciation. It is deliberately built in to create a disposable market where goods are constantly being sold. I got that when we accidentally spilled water on my daughter's three year old laptop last month and it died. We retrieved data, but we had to buy her a new one. The tech told me they now build them to last only 2-4 years anyway because otherwise people didn't buy new ones often enough. But my daughter needed one, if we could afford a new one, which we managed.

Could I have built one for her myself? No. I could, however, learn to do so if I invested the time, money and effort, as so many hobbists did with early computers, some turning into major businesses. But we make choices in life, and some get made for us, about where we spend our time and what we learn and how much in a given subject. The information is available, but we're not all going to become computer engineers. Fifty years ago, many people could not afford services and so they learned what they had to do, though often that learning was specific (those without cars did not necessarily learn anything about cars.) Now basic mechanical knowledge is less because it's needed less widely in the populace (although another Great Recession may change that.) The learning is available, though. The degree will deeply vary, especially because in every industry there is specialization.

There are issues we definitely have -- landfills, for instance. We stripped out the harddrive on the toasted computer and then took it to the electronic recycling people. Another person working more with computers might have stripped more parts out of it. But while we may be able to deal with environmental issues, etc., we are not going to get rid of specialization. There are too many of us.

And this comes back to the issue of stagnation in SF. It's a fear of knowledge being lost, that no one will specialize in certain areas of SF that are important to the person in some way. But that area was always specialized -- the bulk of SF was never in one area.

I was just reading about Jack Andraka, a 15-year-old who won the Intel high school research competition by inventing a paper sensor for detecting colon, prostrate and lung cancers that is cheaper and way more accurate than the tests they're using now. He's working with John Hopkins. So our disposable buying of microchips at least has gone for something kind of useful.
 
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The women's liberation movement was about getting women equal protection, rights and status under the law as equal citizens. It is still a work in progress. That included getting women into the workforce, yes, so that they could survive, so that they could have upward social mobility like men, and yes certainly to utilize them, as doing so always results in growth and productivity in an economy and a higher standard of living, so that the women could go and make useless junk just like the guys. Unfortunately, women are still being discouraged and blocked from the technology industries, so that they only make up 20% of the workforce there. That will change slowly.

But standard of living is a measure of CASH FLOW. GDP is a measure of CASH FLOW. How much has cash flow increased since the 50s and how much better is the economy since the 50s. So is this more complicated then job equality for women. What if men stopped being dumb consumers and didn't need jobs so badly? Women too? Wouldn't that be just as much a form of equality? Why is only one version promoted.

The society does not suggest that double-entry accounting be mandatory for women OR MEN. My point is that concept of EQUALITY is merely being suckers just like the MEN. Curious I don't recall ever seeing a sci-fi book where every kid was expected to learn basic accounting like learning to ride a bicycle.

What did Heinlein say about specialization?

“A human being should be able to change a diaper, plan an invasion, butcher a hog, conn a ship, design a building, write a sonnet, balance accounts, build a wall, set a bone, comfort the dying, take orders, give orders, cooperate, act alone, solve equations, analyze a new problem, pitch manure, program a computer, cook a tasty meal, fight efficiently, die gallantly.”

I think a lot of this specialization is artificially created. Lots of machines have cams besides cars. And just because someone understands a concept does not mean they have to use it. But if you trust the specialists to keep you ignorant then...

Torches of Freedom!

How about a little science fiction?

Cost of Living (1952) by Sheckley Robert
https://senjibqa.wordpress.com/category/science/

Subversive (1962) by Reynolds Mack
http://www.digilibraries.com/ebook/115574/Subversive/

How any SF stories are demonstrations of knowledge being power and the ignorant being taken advantage of? We just are not told how easy some things are to understand.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7dg96tefnEU

In part sci-fi is stagnating because it is stuck in the same social ideas. The economics in Bujold's Vorkosivers and Weber's Honorverse is really the same as today's. Off the top of my head James P. Hogan's Voyage from Yesteryear is the only thing that is really different and it is similar to this:

http://www.abelard.org/e-f-russell.php

But Hogan explains how it comes about.

psik
 
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Could I have built one for her myself? No. I could, however, learn to do so if I invested the time, money and effort, as so many hobbists did with early computers, some turning into major businesses.
Super pedant point - Laptops can rarely, if ever, be built by the amateur user. It's not that they're hard, it's that the components and parts are generally not on sale to the home user (only a few upgrades are) so unless you can wrangle parts from Dell or any other manufacturer, you're not going to be able to build one.

Desktops, however, are as easy as LEGO. Just sharper, heavier and more expensive :p
 
I don't think its stagnant, I think they are mass producing it to keep up with demand. They need to slow down and put out quality work...we aren't cell phones or computers, we are people and we don't evolve as fast as electronics. Patience is a virtue, and people don't have that any more, they want more now!

I say slow down people and write good stuff, don't copy something else with a different name and location, find your own thing and do it.
 
What is this STAGNATING business about? Stagnating relative to what?

Suppose the human side of sci-fi ideas are used up. Whether you apply the Frankenstein concept to computers or genetic engineering or nanotechnology it is still the Frankenstein concept even though the technologies are different. So is that a form of stagnation?

Is changing the technology but talking about the same issue a form of stagnation?

psik
 
Laptops can rarely, if ever, be built by the amateur user.

True, the laptops put stuff all together, which is why the water took it all out, though the harddrive was enough intact to retrieve data. But I could learn how to get parts. And desktops are systems where the parts are not smooshed together, so yes, they are very much like legos. I know what the parts are. I know how to do maintenance on them. I know how to select a system. I know some basic electronics stuff. But to do correct soldering and wiring and what not to actually put them together, I would have to learn additional stuff. And I can -- you can learn anything, given enough money, time and effort, some able to learn some things faster than others. But I have to choose and so do we all.

Red Dobbs said:
I say slow down people and write good stuff, don't copy something else with a different name and location, find your own thing and do it.

I know that many people don't believe this, but that's what most of the authors actually do. But the claims of stagnation are joint -- one is popularity stagnating, which is arguing that SF isn't mass produced; it's failing to attract interest. The other is stagnating in terms of being able to explore ideas, which may mean all of science or a complaint that certain types of science aren't being used and centrally enough. Often, the stagnating issue is saying both -- it's dying and it's dying because writers are not doing what some readers feel is acceptable content. A favorite variant is that SF is stagnating on ideas because all the ideas have already been found and we know everything. That's a piece of hubris that I find impractical myself.

psikey said:
What if men stopped being dumb consumers and didn't need jobs so badly? Women too? Wouldn't that be just as much a form of equality?

No, because the equality issue isn't purely about cash flow, having a job and purchase power. I misspoke in my previous post, because I made it sound like it was about getting women into the workforce. It wasn't. Women have always worked for pay and trade. My grandmother, for instance, had to drop out of school to pick crops during the Great Depression, sold quilts and crafts, ran a gun store with her husband, owned and managed rental property, etc. Her daughter, my aunt, got to go college and was a terrific artist and photographer who sold her work, taught classes, worked in the graphics department of the city newspaper, helped run her husband's sport and security dog training business, did some rentals, etc. While the small percentage of women who could not work or work part-time while raising kids increased somewhat in the growth of the middle class post WWII in places like the U.S., the reality was that most women were in the workforce.

What wasn't happening is them getting higher levels of education, getting paid the same as a man or the same terms for equal work, being allowed into certain industries -- like tech -- being promoted, etc. We do not have equality because women were deliberately blocked from equal rights through legal discrimination, business discrimination and social discrimination, (which is still going on.) And that was and is about beliefs, not cash flow. There are other things involved with work besides just money -- power, political control over your rights, personal safety, property rights, etc. If we are equal, then we are adult human beings under the law with equal protection under the law. If we're not, legally we used to be property, then the legal equivalent of minor children, then we could vote but we were blocked from political representation and fair employment. So it's complicated.

Could we become a less consumer-oriented society? Yes, we certainly can (and this is an issue that SF keeps exploring, both ways.) Recycling, etc. is part of that. Many people pursue self-sufficiency, back to the land, reduced use, etc. But those cultural shifts, while they tackle some of our problems, would not give women equality. Only ensuring equal legal protection and combating discrimination does that.

Now, if you're saying we should all stop working and women should work for that goal instead of not being discriminated against in the workplace, how exactly would that work? We cannot all be agricultural, and even if we were, it would not be sufficient. Are you going to somehow manufacture your own microchips, but only enough for yourself? How are you going to get the necessary materials if you live in a part of the world where you can't get them naturally? And isn't that work, just not work you're getting paid for by someone else? And why would you then need bookkeeping skills? But certainly, those are issues that SF can and does explore.

“A human being should be able to change a diaper, plan an invasion, butcher a hog, conn a ship, design a building, write a sonnet, balance accounts, build a wall, set a bone, comfort the dying, take orders, give orders, cooperate, act alone, solve equations, analyze a new problem, pitch manure, program a computer, cook a tasty meal, fight efficiently, die gallantly.”

And yet, Heinlein did not know how to do all those things. :) Whether a society is pre-industrial or not, being able to survive alone is rarely possible. Humans have to cooperate to survive. And where there's cooperation, there's going to be trade. And there's going to be specialization because to be really good at particular things takes time and not everyone in the community can devote that much time, not and have the other needs met. You don't need everyone working on one problem, like making barrels or weaving cloth.

Bookkeeping or personal accounting are taught in schools to both sexes. It's just not consistent from place to place, as the money willing to be devoted to schools and for what varies widely. I think basic accounting skills are critical to being able to function in our Western society, but I'm not sure that has much impact on SF.

I think a lot of this specialization is artificially created.

Very possibly true. But some specialization is going to happen in any society. I'm pretty sure there are things that you don't know how to do, psikey. :) You could learn how to do them, you might be able to figure out how to do some others in a pinch, but you don't know them. Instead, you chose or sometimes had choices made for you (certainly again topics of SF,) about what to know in your life. I know how to butcher a hog, but I have chosen not to butcher hogs in my life. I have chosen not to live on a farm, though I know how to grow crops and have grown vegetables, fruits and herbs.

So let's play with this. If I did know more than just parts and basic systems, if I was a computer engineer, what would you expect me to do when the water killed the laptop? What would you have done?

Is changing the technology but talking about the same issue a form of stagnation?

I don't think so. Social issues about humanity don't change that widely. But those social issues in reaction to changing technology is part of SF exploration, of how technology is part of us.
 
So let's play with this. If I did know more than just parts and basic systems, if I was a computer engineer, what would you expect me to do when the water killed the laptop? What would you have done?

It seems as though I talk and what I say gets translated into something that only vaguely resembles what I said and I get feedback that seems nothing like what I said.

In the first page of this thread I used the term "von Neumann machine". It is quite possible that I have never before used the word "laptop" on this website. Just because someone thoroughly comprehends the concept of a "von Neumann machine" does not mean they know how to repair a laptop. The first von Neumann machines used tubes or maybe even relays, not integrated circuits which did not even exist. But the CONCEPT is still the same today.

But I have a Panasonic Toughbook and an OLPC. I bought the Toughbook used for about $250 and upgraded the hard drive. It is only 500 MHz. Both computers have spill proof keyboards.. The OLPC is real crap to type on though.

My point is that a wider spread of relevant concepts would mean lots of people knowing what to NOT BUY which means it might never get manufactured, and better stuff would cost less and we would not be turning the world to junk. How much electronic stuff is thrown away because of one defective part but it is either designed to be virtually unrepairable or its so cheap it is not worth paying someone to fix and they don't have schematics anyway.

Consider the computer technology we have now. Technicians today could have diagnostic computers on their benches with digital and analog probes. They could key in the make an model of the product they need to fix. The computer could tell them where to attach which probes, analyze the results and either give more instructions of specify what part to replace. But we make too damn many useless variations in JUNK. Who could make all of the diagnostic software?

I liked the Toughbook idea as soon as I heard about them but new ones are way too expensive. Of course if I could rip out the guts and install a $50 VIA board or a Raspberry Pi, I would have a better computer. Panasonic or another electronics company could sell kits to do that with circuit boards the right shape. I bet we have a full techno-economic crash before 2050.

The computers can do the bookkeeping. We just need to explain how easy understanding the accounting really is.

The Accounting Game: Basic Accounting Fresh From the Lemonade Stand
http://www.exceltip.com/book-1570713960.html

psik
 
... I bet we have a full techno-economic crash before 2050. ...
psik

How do you define that? What would this crash be like that is different than other crashes in the past? I have a few ideas of my own on that, but wondered about yours.
 
There have been any number of SF books that use the "singularity" as a key feature, but I wouldn't say they STAGNATED the genre.

Can we please stay on topic and take the off-shoots somewhere else.
 
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How do you define that? What would this crash be like that is different than other crashes in the past? I have a few ideas of my own on that, but wondered about yours.

The differences between now and The Great Depression is that most of the US population was still rural in the 1930s. Also we did not have nearly as much of a car culture with lots of suburbs that would be at least annoying to live in without cars. So I wonder if it could be as bad as people either starving in cities or abandoning cities. The government has had decades of welfare state mentality but Keynes said governments should build up surpluses during good times but they never did it. So now they have super debt that Keynes never imagined but they still either want to talk Keynesianism or blame Keynes.

Another factor is this global warming business. By 2050 it will either be obvious that it has been going on and the idiot denialists will have helped screw the planet by keeping anything from being done or it will be a lot slower or non-existent than many experts expect. Personally, I bet it will get really bad. The transportation industry should be a mess with either no oil or extremely expensive oil. Bio-fuel production could aggravate water and food problems. There should probably be a sharp reduction in meat production and consumption.

On the computer front I have a peculiar attitude. It is not that I think computers won't get more powerful I just think it won't matter for more than 90% of people. I heard users complaining about useless variation in word processing software in 2001. What do people do with Vista and Windows 7 that they couldn't do with XP. Yeah I heard of some improvements but how many of those could have been implemented without changing the operating system? So it is a matter of figuring out how to make GOOD use of the processing power rather than increasing it. So it is back to how much do most people know and how much bad information is spread and believed.

So I wonder if all of the kids could and should revolt, kind of like the 60s, only they should have stuff to REALLY BE MAD ABOUT now. Nitwit adults screwed up the planet and left them with the mess and still won't explain what the hell is going on. Presumably most adults don't know. Too much BS to sort out. Play Angry Birds on your smartphone. That will help solve problems.

psik
 
There have been any number of SF books that use the "singularity" as a key feature, but I would say they STAGNATED the genre.

Can we please stay on topic and take the off-shoots somewhere else.

Okay. :) I don't agree that any sub-category of SF stagnates anything.

Stephen Baxter is a hard SF author with degrees in mathematics and engineering. He also does Doctor Who tie-in novels. Does this really stagnate things? New Scientist magazine has launched a new mostly hard SF fiction magazine called Arc. Is that stagnating the genre? Is it stagnating that we have a batch of environmental disaster hard SF stories, focused on how that will effect human life, instead of having guys on other planets we may never get to? Is it really a problem that people enjoy comic fantasy novels like Hitchiker's and Hal Spacejock and Stainless Steele Rat, books that celebrate the love of science? Why exactly are we looking for stagnation in a genre that is constantly fluid, speculative, and branching out?
 
Okay. :) I don't agree that any sub-category of SF stagnates anything.

Stephen Baxter is a hard SF author with degrees in mathematics and engineering. He also does Doctor Who tie-in novels. Does this really stagnate things? New Scientist magazine has launched a new mostly hard SF fiction magazine called Arc. Is that stagnating the genre? Is it stagnating that we have a batch of environmental disaster hard SF stories, focused on how that will effect human life, instead of having guys on other planets we may never get to? Is it really a problem that people enjoy comic fantasy novels like Hitchiker's and Hal Spacejock and Stainless Steele Rat, books that celebrate the love of science? Why exactly are we looking for stagnation in a genre that is constantly fluid, speculative, and branching out?

Sorry I meant "wouldN'T" ... :o
 

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